This is an exciting time for those who have been following the action in Iowa. Of course, polls are notoriously unreliable in Iowa, but with how close they have consistently been for both parties, looks like tomorrow (today) will have some exciting returns.
On the Democratic side, I think Clinton is going to pull this one out. Obama is counting on huge turnout that probably isn’t going to come through in the end, while Clinton is depending on more devoted supporters almost guaranteed to caucus. This could go the other way if Edwards isn’t viable in a lot of precincts, but with his recent surge that is less likely than it was a month ago. My call: Clinton by 3.
Across the aisle, I’m going with Romney. Voters have become more and more disenchanted with Huckabee since his rise from the cellar topped out a week ago. His snub of voters tonight to go be on Leno (and cross a picket line to do so!) will alienate others from coming to him on the final day. Nobody else has much of a chance, so I think Romney’s machine will end up topping Huckabee’s passion. Romney surprises by coming through with a 4 point margin, and Fred Thompson gets only 7% and drops out soon after.
Updated at caucus time: Check out this post for the top tracking sites out there.
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